Abstract
Despite evidence from climate experts that 6% of the world’s coal use must be terminated every year until 2040 to prevent a climate disaster, global coal use continues to rise. The global challenge now lies in securing a just transition from coal. Developed countries – the biggest emmitters – have made funding promises to developing countries that fall far short of what these nations need to transition and adapt, and largely take the form of loans that leave these poorer nations heavily indebted and without any power over how the transition unfolds. In South Africa, about 80% of its power is generated by coal. Mine closure will have a severe impact on millions of already poverty-stricken people. At present, South Africa has no effective plan to mitigate the transition shock on the economy, which could destabilise its financial institutions. So, how can South Africa pursue a just transition from coal that takes into consideration local realities, energy security, development and economic growth, indebtedness, and poverty, unemployment and social stability? The country has well-developed infrastructure, abundant natural resources, and critical minerals, offering opportunities to create a formidable green economy. The way forward is global funding based on grants and investment funding, a focus on technology to clean coal, a massive step-up in developing renewable energy, and a manufacturing, skills and technology revolution. But most importantly, is the need for an industrial policy based on a compact between the state, private sector, and civil society.

The full paper can be found on ISI’s website: https://www.inclusivesociety.org.za/post/how-south-africa-can-sustainably-transition-from-coal